Will India’s largest PSU Bank Stock SBI cross the ₹1,000 mark?

Will India’s largest PSU Bank Stock SBI cross the ₹1,000 mark?


State Bank of India: The titan of the Indian banking sector, has been consistent in climbing the charts. Can the banking giant finally break the barrier and reach a four-digit price tag? Investors are keenly watching the share price of SBI as it gives a steady growth, fueled by recent performance.

But before starting to celebrate, it’s crucial to analyse the factors propelling this growth and identify if there are any roadblocks which could prevent SBI from reaching this milestone. Come let’s have a look at the various aspects of the Bank and find out whether they have the potential to reach the 1000 rs mark. 

State Bank of India (SBI)

State Bank Of India is considered the oldest commercial bank in India. It was established in 1806 and was named as Bank of Calcutta. During the merging of three Presidency Banks in 1921, the bank was again formed and named Imperial Bank of India. In 1955, the Government of India nationalised this Bank and renamed it as State Bank of India. Currently, the bank is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra. 

Today SBI has over 22,542 branches and 63,580 ATMs all across India. With 8,101 branches and 5,997 ATM’s in rural areas and 4,039 branches and 22,058 ATM’s in Urban areas. They also have a dominant presence in international markets, with 241 foreign offices across 29 countries. The Bank has made consistent efforts to have a presence in all regions like urban, metro, semi-urban and rural areas to contribute to its financial inclusion initiatives.

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As a full-service commercial bank, SBI offers various economic and banking services like corporate banking, retail banking, investment banking, international banking, insurance and wealth management.  As a leading commercial bank, SBI plays a crucial role in supporting the growth and development of the economy. 

Experts’ and Broker’s Opinions on SBI’s Share Price

Nomura, the global brokerage firm has opted for a buy call and set a target of Rs 1000 per SBI shares. By looking at the bank’s great earnings performance, sustained credit growth, expanding net interest margins and improved asset quality Nomura set this target. 

JP Morgan, by looking at the bank’s closing growth, and ROE gap with private peers and by looking at the improved asset quality has given a buy call with a target of Rs 1000 for SBI shares. 

SBI’s competitive edge 

Unparalleled Network and Reach

SBI has the largest ATM presence and branch network across the country.  With 8,101 branches and 5,997 ATM’s in rural areas and 4,039 branches and 22,058 ATM’s in Urban areas. Since they specifically concentrate on rural and urban areas, it gives an advantage to them to serve a diverse customer base.

Government Backing 

SBI being a public sector bank, receives government support which enhances their credibility and allows them to undertake large-scale projects with competitive rates.

Brand Recognition and Trust 

Since being India’s oldest and largest bank, it has built a strong brand and trust among Indian consumers, particularly in areas of lower bank penetration. 

Technology Adoption 

Being one of the biggest and oldest banks in India, SBI is pretty much cautious and proactive in adapting its technologies like mobile apps, digital banking platforms and emerging technologies like blockchain and AI. 

Lower cost of funds

With a large deposit base and government support, SBI enjoys a lower cost of funds compared to that of its competitors. This allows them to offer competitive interest rates on loans and make profits. SBI was able to increase its CD ratio from 61.13% in FY 21 to 68.34 % in FY 24. 

Asset quality

SBI’s asset quality has improved across all segments like Corporate advances, Per retail advances, foreign office advances, SME advances and Agri advances for the past 5 years. Their gross NPA has also declined consistently from 9.67% in FY 20 to 2.45% in FY 24 in their corporate advance segment and in their SME advances segment it declined from 9.43% in FY 20 to 3.75% in FY 24.

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SBI’s Financial performance 

By looking at the table we can understand that SBI can generate more money compared to its previous years. The bank has generated consistent increases in interest income as well as net profit for the past 4 years.  They were able to increase their income margin by 11.55% and profit margin by 20.47% compared to the previous year. They were also able to generate 16.45% in Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the past three years. Even their subsidiaries like SBI General Insurance and SBI Life Insurance showed a strong performance with a net profit of Rs 61,077 crore in FY 24. 

SBI’s Expectations in the Future

State Bank of India (SBI) has made comprehensive plans to achieve strategic growth and improvements across various aspects of its business. SBI aims to achieve an overall credit growth of 13-15% in the upcoming year, with an expected 16% growth in the corporate loan domain.

The bank focuses on improving its asset quality, targets to reduce its gross NPA ratio and reduce its current agriculture NPA from 9.5% to 6-8% range. SBI aims to increase its market share in both advances and deposits, particularly planning to improve its CASA ratio and current account growth. They wanted to achieve a target of around 75% in the domestic credit-deposit ratio. 

SBI wants to continually focus on expanding its digital services and products through its YONO SBI platform and expects 30% growth in loan booking through YONO. The bank feels very comfortable with the current capital levels and says it has room to raise Additional Tier 1 capital also.

SBI aims to lower the cost-to-income ratio by concentrating on income growth and expects to spend Rs 65,000-70,000 crore as staff costs for FY 25. SBI wanted to focus on loan application fees, underwriting and down-selling corporate loans to boost their fee income. As a bank, they also wanted to invest in capabilities to evaluate new sectors like Cell manufacturing and EV batteries.  

Conclusion 

By looking at the positive market sentiment and recent bullish trend we can see a promising picture. But what about the external factors and economic uncertainties like global market fluctuations and rising interest rates, they may also play a crucial role. However, the question of the 1000 Rs mark remains open.

With SBI’s strategic vision and robust fundamentals, we can say that the company is well-positioned to navigate the market and emerge stronger. But can they reach the said target? As an investor what would you bet about the company’s projections? Do let us know in the comments below.  

Written by Pavunkumar V M

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